Andy Holding’s Ebor Saturday Racing Tips

KIEFER (best cost 7-1) has always had the look of a horse for those that this race would suit and having had pretty much his season geared around arriving here in peak shape, Eve Johnson Houghton’s gelding seems poised for a huge effort.
Promising in his first three trips in maidens, Pour Moi’s boy has come into his own that he didn’t waste any time taking advantage of an mark of 75 in May back in Newbury and upped in trip and after handicapped. His campaign when runner-up from the Bibury Cup in Salisbury came courtesy of a major speed figure, although crushed twice as and he shaped nicely last time out despite gentle ground not being ideal. The type who ought to have the ability to really express himself over the big, galloping circuit, the fast ground available must match and the likeable makes lots of appeal that is each-way with generous four place terms being offered by a few firms.
Double the amount of prize money in the table in contrast to last year means just getting a run from the Ebor has been a feat in itself, and that’s shown with a 105-rated bottom weight. Because of the compact nature of the weights, it seems a moot exercise mulling around the pounds and ounces and it is far better to stick to the tried and trusted formula of going with something with proven course form — which applies to the majority of races in York. Keeping that in mind, one of the main trials for your #1 million-pound occasion comes courtesy of this Group 3 competition run over the C&D on John Smith’s Cup afternoon a month ago, with many of the principal players who afternoon place to do battle again. Won by Red Galileo, Ed Dunlop’s gelding fended from the likes of Raheen House, Weekender along with Kelly’s Dino (won since) at a crazy end and with time figure pointing towards the form of the race being especially trustworthy, it wouldn’t come as too much of a surprise if one of the quartet were to succeed back to the spectacle of the epic experience.
Of those, the safest option, possibly, is RAHEEN HOUSE (best price 7-1) because his numbers not merely stack up nicely from this competition, but also from his previous performance over the same C&D a month before. Though no game for Gold Mount that afternoon, it still wasn’t a bad effort off the back of a 231-day break and in locating the necessary improvement the next day, the child of Sea Even the Stars managed to run to a much higher level in what was to be an extremely strongly-run event. Held off the speed, he stayed on best of all to only go down narrowly in a end and that functionality only added that he simply loves the galloping character of this track. Having changed from Brian Meehan to William Haggas’ powerful lawn, it appears connections have been dead-set on landing this huge trophy for quite some time and ensuring that no stone is left unturned in the build-up into the occasion, he should arrive about the Knavesmire at fever-pitch. Only from the money double in a 17-race profession, the five-year-old also has useful course stats that examine 123 and with form on various conditions and stamina and course in equal measures, it’s difficult to find him not having any kind of state in the final outcome.
Pretty Pollyanna brings genuine Group 1 kind into the dining table and she is very likely to be a hot order under the adjustments, but at exactly the exact same time, she’s fairly got out of the habit of winning and at her skimpy morning cost, she’s handed over in favour of very good EFFORT (best price 22-1) at considerably more attractive chances. Until a change of heart resulted on today ‘s C&D last time out campaigned over 7f/1m, Ismail Mohamed’s gelding had lost his way. Always travelling readily off the back of strong fractions, the boy of Shamardal found clever turn of foot to easily brush aside a helpful area and although today’s contest is a far cry from the shallower waters that he encountered that day, he is just the kind who could excel in a larger and better surroundings.
Considering DANGEROUS ENDS’s (best price 10-1) run-style, he was always unlikely to be satisfied by the sharp mile in Lingfield last time outside, but back above a C&D that’s functioned well in the past, Brett Johnson’s inmate prices a more viable proposition.
Well behind at halfway in the Surrey place, the five-year-old had very little probability of collecting, but he left a brave fist of the situation to run on strong to finish a third and now that signals he stays in form. A success followed by a creditable spot below a punishment were his 2 offerings when hurrying over the C&D of today and together with all the helpful William carver in the plate to lessen the pain of top pounds, the Monsieur Bond gelding should outrun.
RISE HALL (best cost 8-1) has not got a lot of miles around the clock and using a possibility that he still could be advancing, Martyn Meade’s gelding could go close to supplying his eponymous handler his second champion of this assembly. Third in a Exotic handicap over the C&D of today when upped last year, the four-year-old hasn’t done too much wrong since along with his success at Newmarket last time out capped off a series of solid attempts in decent handicaps. Despite racing with all the choke out during the early portion of the competition a month past, the boy of Frankel still had enough in reserve to see off a small, but select field, and having thrived over the 2 times he’s struck a large field and a strong rate, Rise Hall should turn out to be in his part under ideal conditions.
Whatever happens today, Richard Hannon has already enjoyed a wonderful week, but there’s a better than outside chance that WEDDING DATE (best cost 16-1) can provide exactly the East Everleigh maestro with the perfect finish to this assembly.
Therefore it best to concentrate on the advantages, at her best when requested to complete over five-furlongs, it is no surprise that her two performances lately have come over an excess furlong. Seen to good effect once the pace dropped over the C&D back in May, the daughter of Dandy Man once more did some really good late job on her most recent trip at Ascot, coming from nearly last to sneak third against a few classy and well-established older sprint handicappers. Back among her age group this day, expect her to become outpaced before coming together with her normal late rattle in running to pull off such an effort, and although she will need a chance , her morning cost that is generous suggest she worth the risk.
Small Nugget sets the normal due to her handsome effort in an adequate novice contest in the Galway Festival, but she may have much more on her plate compared to the market suggests up against the improving CAER (NAP) (greatest price 5-2).
A winner of a bumper at Roscommon back in July was in the process of conducting a race that is large at Galway herself once capsizing four from house, however she did not have to wait too long for damages. Dusting down herself, she suffered no ill effects from that fall by bolting up that she made the Bronagh’s Belle seem quite pedestrian it testimony into her own qualities. Likely to be staged fairly conveniently — which is not a strategy about that sharp monitor — Noel Meade’s bill can offer the favourite.
The key to the results of this race might lie inside the similar heat run in Doncaster last week and also of those that were included in that competition on Town Moor, VERDIGRIS (best price 20-1) makes the most allure at the dawn odds. Held up towards the back in the early phases, Ruth Carr’s filly was only starting to creep into the contest when she fulfilled all sorts of trouble in running and although it’s always tough to come to a precise decision where she might have completed, there’s every chance she’d have left the frame at least given how well she had been going at the moment. Ahead of this unfortunate effort, the girl of Focus had run respectably from that backed up several preceding solid performances at the trail, such as a victory back in May and the useful Warning Fire the course of today. Flexible regards back and trip the four-year-old, on a surface gets much more in her favor than her early quotations suggest.

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