Last night was a perfect case of a night to overlook my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.
I took a risk with rostering left-hander Brendan McKay from a team in the Seattle Mariners that may hit the ball hard but also strikes out a great deal, and the former is that which ended up taking place. McKay surrendered seven runs (but just three earned) in just two innings of work since he allowed three hits — including 2 home runs — three walks with only one strikeout. That’s the worst pitching functionality we’ve seen in these types of lineups.
Our four-man D-backs pile did??some??damage as Ketel Marte continued his breakout year with his 26th home run, a two-run shot. In addition, he included a stroll. David Peralta doubled within a two-hit night together with two RBI and Eduardo Escobar scored a run and walked. Add in a zero out of Christian Walker and the overall results of this high-upside, four-man pile were disappointing to be sure.
Our three-man Reds pile was only barbarous as a stroll from both Phillip Ervin and Eugenio Suarez was the only contributions we would get from that collection.
Finally, we received some good value from one-off shortstop Wilfredo Tovar who pumped a set of singles to us since a minimal $2,000 cost.
Let us put this one behind us now and move forward to tonight’s plump 15-game principal slate!
P — Sonny Gray (CIN) — $10,400 vs. SD
There is lots of arms with this slate that draw your attention such as Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg, Shane Bieber and Aaron Nola, but I like Gray as his price isn’t at the level that Kershaw is currently at over $12K, but the upside might be just as strong as he chooses on the San Diego Padres tonight at home. The boundaries of Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati are of the hitter-friendly surroundings, but that hasn’t stopped?? Gray from twirling a 3.15 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 3.48 xFIP along with a big-time 10.62 K/9 at home. The latter three of these numbers are outstanding to his figures on the street, as is his 3.86 K/BB at home as he has run into some command issues on the street using a 4.08 BB/9, however, owns a pleasant 2.75 mark in home. Gray has been especially notable of late, entering this one tonight riding a three-start scoreless streak as he has not allowed a run over his last 18 innings with 24 strikeouts in that interval. His final two trips have come in the home and he is hurled 11 innings of shutout ball at the time with 17 strikeouts to boot. The strikeout upside gets a top notch in the right direction tonight as the Padres own the league’s second-highest strikeout rate versus right-handed piching with a K-rate of 26.4percent off of them. Given also the strikeout upside into this matchup along with his work, Gray seems to be a nice play on this huge slate.
C/1B — Anthony Rizzo (CHC) — $4,200 vs. SF
I actually have not piled against the Giants much this year since they have a top 10 bullpen to rear their starters, although I believe that the Cubs have some real nice upside , as do the oddsmakers at they’ve a big 5.9 run projection at this point in time. The Cubs will take on right-hander Tyler Beede with scuffled to the song of a 5.77 ERA along with 5.42 FIP on the season to go together with a 1.85 HR/9 speed. He’s also been touched for a 6.23 ERA on the path to go alongside a 5.82 FIP and also 1.89 HR/9 clip. Lastly, Beede has recently posted a 9.95 ERA around three August begins to this stage with a 2.64 HR/9 against, so there is a lot of reason to think this Cubs team can put a few runs on the board in a big way tonight. Enter Rizzo who’s once again doing some big-time harm against right-wing pitching with a .240 ISO, .960 OPS, .401 wOBA and also a 148 wRC+ against them for the season. He’s seen his ISO dip to .179 in home versus righties, but his .962 OPS, .407 wOBA along with 152 wRC+ are superior at house versus his marks on the road versus righties. Rizzo homered in his last match in Williamsport, the house of the Little League World Series, against the Pirates, his second long ball on his final four games. For him to keep to swing a stick that is potent in this one tonight, let us look.
2B — Cesar Hernandez (PHI) — $2,500 vs. BOS
After selecting Gray as my pitcher along with a four-man Cubs stack to lead the Warriors in this lineup, then I needed to be discerning with all the rest of my selections from a salary perspective since there was not a ton to spend on every player at that point. However, I’ve discovered an affordable, low-owned mini-stack that may pay some benefits in a matchup tonight, beginning here with Hernandez. Hernandez’s Phillies take on the Red Sox and also left-hander Brian Johnson within this 1 tonight, so he of a ghastly 6.45 ERA, 5.95 FIP and also 5.99 xFIP around the season to go along with a big 2.01 HR/9 against as well. He’s been struck hard by right-handed bats in his short time in the bigs this year, along with the switch-hitting Hernandez will swing from the right side . The power is enhanced by the left side of this plate, even though he’s smacked eight of his 23 doubles right into a lefty and he’s struck eight complete home runs and discharged seven complete bases to provide us some power/speed upside . Usually I just use him righties, but given how poor Johnson was versus right-handed nerves and the fact he’s going to become a part of a mini-stack at low ownership, I’ll roll the dice onto the Phillies’ second baseman tonight.
3B — Sean Rodriguez (PHI) — $2,200 vs. BOS
We’ll complete the Phillies mini-stack in order as Rodriguez looks to provide us some worth tonight against the fighting Johnson. Rodriguez has made his big league cash hitting left wing pitching for power that was notable. For this time, he is hitting .267 using a .222 ISO, .842 OPS, .356 wOBA and 119 wRC+ against left handed pitching. When we compare that to his .154 average, .059 ISO, .437 OPS, .201 wOBA along with 18 wRC+ vs righties, we can see why Rodriguez starts almost exclusively against left-handed pitching as he has done during his lengthy big league tenure. In layman’s terms, Rodriguez has smacked each of his homers against lefties in 45 at-bats with no homers across 34 at-bats versus righties. Even the 34-year-old also posted a large .356 ISO at Triple-A this year in limited action using an 1.000 OPS versus left wing pitching. He seldom has an whole game as he’s mostly replaced when a noodle that is right-handed is summoned to confront himbut the second-last time he’d get four at-bats at a match, Rodriguez knocked three hits including a home run. He has fought in mostly pinch-hit duty because, but I am still digging the upside we are getting for a lefty-masher in a near-minimum price versus a struggling left-hander tonight.
SS — Javier Baez (CHC) — $4,100 vs. SF
Next guy up in our Cubs stack is Baez with superior amounts versus left-wing pitching, but that I still very much want him in this stack versus a right-hander in addition to he’s mashed them also. He does own a huge .333 ISO along with .998 OPS versus pitching, however, Baez also sports a .240 ISO, .824 OPS, .337 wOBA along with 106 wRC+ vs right-handed pitching. He has hit 20 of his 28 homers versus righties in addition to 30 of his own 34 doubles, but for some reason the Cubs have faced so few left-handers this season that the eight homers and four rebounds he is submitted versus lefties have his figures soaring against them. The stolen base upside down is there also with 10 steals on the season, but interestingly only three of these have arrived at the expense of a right-handed pitcher. Having said that, Baez has fared much better in the home versus right-handed throwing, thanks in part to the famous jet flow that blows outside to left field — Baez’s pull field — at Wrigley Field in Chicago. Baez possesses a big-time .302 ISO, .961 OPS, .392 wOBA along with 142 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching at home this season. After trying to get a few matches, Baez went 2 for 5 with a double and a run scored on the match at Williamsport on Sunday night, so let’s look for him to assemble on this multi-hit campaign in this one tonight.
OF — Kyle Schwarber (CHC) — $3,300 vs. SF
Ongoing our four-man Cubs pile is Schwarber who simply loves himself some right-handed pitching. Schwarber’s 28 extended balls on the season are only two shy of tying his career-high of 30 place in the 2017 season, along with 24 of those 28 long balls have come from a right-wing pitcher just like he’ll face tonight at the Giants’ Tyler Beede. Schwarber does not hit for much average whatsoever that drags down his OPS and wOBA despite a few powerful walk amounts, no matter how the raw power is what we are here for because he owns a .276 ISO versus righties to go together with an .835 OPS, .342 wOBA and 109 wRC+ vs opposite-handed pitching. Despite Wrigley Field perhaps not being the absolute most hitter-friendly place for left-wing hitters like Schwarber, he loves mashing righties at home as he sports a .296 ISO, .918 OPS, .373 wOBA and 129 wRC+ vs righties at home in comparison to some .257 ISO, .760 OPS, .315 wOBA and 91 wRC+ to the street versus righties. Schwarber has absolutely removed in the second half of this season as we’ve seen earlier with him. Since returning in the All-Star fracture, Schwarber has posted a gigantic .344 ISO, .900 OPS, .368 wOBA along with 126 wRC+. In a good example of a very low average but tons of power, three of Schwarber’s final five strikes have left the yard. Search for more of the same against a right-handed pitcher permitting his fair share of home runs.
OF — Ian Happ (CHC) — $3,100 vs. SF
Last man up in our Cubs stack is Happ who certainly has a lot of pop into that bat. Happ has spent the majority of the season at the Triple-A degree for a casualty of a statistics game in the Cubs outfield, however despite not exactly tearing it up at Triple-A using a .189 ISO along with 96 wRC+, Happ has submitted big-time numbers in his big league tenure this season across hi 62 plate looks. He possesses a .291 ISO and 133 wRC+ at the major league level this season with four balls into his name. The switch-hitting utility man possesses a .278 ISO, .937 OPS, .390 wOBA along with 140 wRC+ in his brief big league time this year vs right-handed pitching. He burst onto the scene at 2017 with 24 home runs following a mid-season advertising, and switch-hitter owns superior career amounts versus righties with a .242 ISO, .845 OPS, .355 wOBA and a 120 wRC+ versus righties when compared with some .171 ISO, .713 OPS, .303 wOBA along with 86 wRC+ versus lefties. He’s yet to swipe at a base in the big leagues this season, but did have nine stelas in 99 Triple-A games this year and has 16 stolen bases in 279 large league games for his career, therefore we have a touch of stolen base upside here as well. I’ll take the cross-category upside here to anchor our stack tonight.
OF — Lane Thomas (STL) — $2,300 vs. MIL
I will be completing this lineup using a set of one-of-a-kind outfielders, beginning here with Thomas who takes on left-hander Gio Gonzalez along with the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. Gonzalez has been fine this season and is not a pitcher I aim frequently, but just about all of the harm against him comes from right-handed bats and Thomas has rather good numbers against lefties equally in the big leagues and minor league level this season. Entering this 1 tonight, Thomas is for 8 with a homer and a triple versus left wing pitching in a small huge league sample this year. In addition, he attempted a steal with a lefty, albeit an unsuccessful attempt, but does have a sneak off of a righty. However, the 23-year-old failed post an .826 OPS versus lefties from the minors this year where he also found success on the basepaths with 11 wants to improve his 10 home runs. Two of his 11 steals from the minors were away of pitching. Thomas does have a record of the valuable power/speed mix in his minor league career as he homered 27 times and stole 17 bases around two levels last season and contains double-digit steals in the minors in every one of his two preceding years. I think we will get him low ownership on this particular slate and I am excited to see whether he can provide some big-time value against a southpaw pitcher.
UTIL — Joc Pederson (LAD) — $2,900 vs. TOR
Completing our lineup is Pederson who carries a bunch of value. The Dodgers have been set to carry on right-hander Sean Reid-Foley, a beginner for the Blue Jays who possesses a 3.00 ERA in six starts and eight appearances at the big league level, but also a 4.88 FIP and enormous 6.18 xFIP to go along with a massive 5.70 BB/9 speed too. Moreover, Reid-Foley had been brutalized in the Triple-A amount with a 6.26 ERA, 5.53 FIP and 5.31 xFIP to go together with a gigantic 6.80 BB/9 rate too. Certainly, he’s due for some big-time regression from the big leagues after being roughed up from the minors this season. As is normally the case against a right-handed starter, Pederson is projected to hit at the leadoff spot tonight. He loves himself a few right-handed pitching as he owns a enormous .272 ISO, .851 OPS, .354 wOBA along with 121 wRC+ vs righties on the season while most of his 24 extended balls come against a righty. He is a lot like Schwarber in the sense that he does not hit for a average but instead big-time power. He is also like Schwarber in the sense he mashes righties in the home with Pederson possessing an eye-popping .381 ISO, 1.026 OPS, .416 wOBA and 161 wRC+ in home versus righties this year. I believe I will take that kind of production from this leadoff area that is valuable tonight.
Last night was a perfect case of a night to overlook my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.